2020 US Presidential Election and Twitter Polls: A Twice a Week Look (Week of August 17th)8/18/2020 Listen we all know the polls the media puts out can't be trusted. The way the media skews the data makes the results always in favor of one party, and that party is the democrat party. That's why I'm a huge fan of Twitter polls. Twitter polls, yeah anybody can take them, but that's the thing anybody can take them. With media polls the do more polling in certain regions and sample more democrats. I feel with Twitter polls and other open Internet polls out there, you get more accurate results. I did this same thing back in 2016, and you know what polls got the election in 2016 right? It wasn't the media polls, it were the Internet and Twitter polls. So Let's take a look at some big US political polling accounts on Twitter. The first two polls I'll show you are recent, and the last one is last week. Let's start with a poll courtesy of @PpollingNumbers: This poll doesn't ask who people plan on voting for, but simply who they think is going to win the 2020 US presidential election, and you see who's on most peoples minds, President Trump. I mean this is a pretty significant poll based on the number of votes and just the runaway victory the President receives here. Now let's take a look at a poll courtesy of @USPoliticsPoll: This poll finished just today, and it comes from a fairly large account (16.2K followers). The result here has more people planning to vote for Trump-Pence at 51.1% than Biden-Harris at 48.9%. Close, but does resemble that Spectator Index poll I posted about last Friday. From the looks of those 2 polls above, and the Spectator Index poll from last week, the momentum and enthusiasm is on Trump's side. However, let's take one more look at another poll here from last week. This poll is courtesy of @Politics_Polls: This one has the largest sample of them all, but it is from last week. This one has Biden-Harris up by a fair amount, and is similar to the results that Trump-Pence received in the US Politics Polls poll above. Is the enthusiasm and momentum really on Trump's side? I still believe so, based on the polling from the past couple of days and the support the President has been receiving in the past couple of weeks.
This is why I love Twitter and Internet polls, they can always be different, but at one point, once more minds are made up and more results are counted, one option will start running away with the lead. That's what happened in 2016, some polls like these showed Hillary up and Trump up, but towards November everything started pointing at Trump. We'll see in the coming months, but stay tuned to Pulsar for more!
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