Debate II: Post Polls vs Open Internet Polls

Image source: http://media.myfoxmemphiscom.cmgdigital.com/photo/2016/10/10/5_Awkward_Moments__Presidential_Debates__0_6310907_ver1.0_640_360.jpg

Again in just 24 hours after the debate, most open internet and twitter polls closed, and all most all declared Trump the winner of the debate. He played defense when he had to, but went on offense the whole night while staying on message. Hillary had no chance.

This post is going to be different than the previous Pulsar analysis, post debate polls will be included and compared. This will will help get a better idea of biased closed polling vs open digital polling.

Of course the post debate polls that came out say Clinton won the debate, but let's compare the results of demographically biased closed polling, versus real time open unbiased polling.

​Let's take a look at the infamous CNN/ORC poll shall we:

As you see above, 57% said Hillary won and 34% said Trump won. Would you like to know how this poll was conducted? See below:

This was conducted by telephone at random and there were 9% more democrats than republicans surveyed. Now looking at the second image, you see where the demographic bias comes into play, it shows that only the liberal locked north east and traditionally red south was surveyed. 

I know this is done this way on purpose, so i's truly just one vote per person, but compared to complete open polling on the Internet and social media platforms like Twitter, it doesn't seem to reflect the true feeling of the American people.

NBCNews/SurveyMonkey:

Now this was done online it said, with a sample of 3,834 adults, but did not list the regions. The other demographics listed seemed pretty fair overall, but this poll lacks the specifics on how it was truly conducted. This poll clearly concludes Hillary is the winner. You can read it in full here: https://www.scribd.com/document/327208456/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Second-Debate-Reaction-Poll-Toplines-and-Methodology

Shifting over to the Internet and Twitter polls, which all but one gave Trump the W. That's the thing, the closed polls gave Hillary the past two wins, but the open digital ones seem to give Trump the W. You decide.

C-SPAN:
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Trump gets another big C-SPAN victory, beating Hillary by 26%.

@PpollingNumbers:

For those who don't know who this Twitter account is, they gather and tweet out numerous polls daily and compare to previous as well. Well followed and respected. Trump wins by 38%.

​USA Today:

Hillary does log a win in the USA Today poll, but by a close 4 points.

KDKA:
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The 1st ever radio station, and one of the local news stations in my home city of Pittsburgh. This poll is interesting because Hillary had a significant win in this poll for the first debate, but Trump wins big this time around. 32%.

US News & World Report:

US News & World Report aren't known for having much of a political bias, but Trump gets the win by 20%.

Drudge Report:

Trump absolutely dominates the good ol' Drudge poll, wins by around 45%.

These next poll results, should speak for itself, and should pop in your head on Election Day.
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TIME Money:

Alright, again you be the judge on what polls to trust, I'm just making the argument for the simple Internet polls. About 99% of the open Internet and Twitter polls have Trump as the winner of the second debate, but of course the poll that gets the most attention is the CNN/ORC poll, that was posted first. I really do feel these simple, little, open digital polls are being swept under the rug, or simply not getting the attention they deserve.

Trump kept it under control, and said what needed to be said when he needed to say it. He was under attack by Hillary and both moderators, but he countered it or just steered clear and stayed on message, exactly what he needed to do. He talked the issues, showed strength, and looked like a president. I believe that's why the open polls have him winning.

I still 100% believe the election is going to follow the way of the open Internet polls, and Trump is going to win big league!