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Debate III: Trump Dominates Open Internet Polling

10/20/2016

1 Comment

 
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Image Source: http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/dam/assets/161019215359-third-presidential-debate-trump-clinton-sot-putin-best-friend-00001718-exlarge-tease.jpg
It doesn't seem all that long ago, that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton were nominated by their parties for President of the United States. Three weeks until the election, the final debate came to a close last night. If you choose to watch main stream media all day, you'd be probably be under the impression Hillary Clinton won, but open Twitter and Internet polls tell a much different story.

This is the third analysis, if you will, that is being conducted of what the media tell you, and the results they give versus people of all kinds, from all over the country clicking a button. Trump had a much better performance in terms of issues and in terms of strength. The American people had to have seen that, at least those who were paying attention.

Anyways, it's no surprise the notorious CNN/ORC poll declared Hillary the winner of the third debate, and for some reason the actual poll results themselves weren't published on the CNN article. There is no question Hillary won that poll. but why is this poll the gold standard of polls? It makes no sense.

The CNN/ORC poll had Hillary winning 52% to Trump's 39%, it's no surprise. If you look at the second debate Pulsar analysis, you'll get an idea on how this poll is conducted, and like all these closed polls, it's demographically biased. The actual poll itself was not released, so it can't be shown.

Let's dig in.

C-SPAN:
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Trump wins this poll big time, and take the sweep of the C-SPAN poll for all three debates.

USA Today:
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Trump beats Hillary by 28% in this poll, and goes 2-1 for USA Today polls of all three debates. Hillary won the second debate poll.

Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers):
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Trump again, scores a very big win. Political Polls is a very well respected and followed account on Twitter. They put out various Presidential and Congressional election polls daily. Trump sweeps this poll as well for all three debates.

PennLive:
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Being that I'm from Pennsylvania I wanted to include this poll, but I did hope to include a KDKA poll for the third debate, KDKA did not conduct one. I'm not sure why, but Trump went 1-1 in the two polls that were conducted, Hillary won debate one and Trump won the second. Trump wins big in this PennLive poll though, beating Hillary by 42%.

New York Times Opinion:
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Yes, this is just the Twitter account of The New York Times Opinion section, but it's still significant. Trump always bashes The NYT, but for good reasons, and The NYT are largely biased against Trump. 68% of people who voted, thought Trump won, compared to Hillary's 24% and that's huge.

Drudge Report:​
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Trump scored his 3rd straight debate poll victory on Drudge, beating Hillary massively by 74.32%.

AOL:
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It seemed that, open polls on mid to high grade media sites were becoming harder to come across, until I found AOL's. Trump picks up the W by 3.28%.

These next two are from the two biggest swing states, that both went in Trump's favor. The first one is WCPO from Cincinnatti, OH and the second is from WPVT from all of South Florida.
Trump dominates both of them, not even a contest. Now to be fair Hillary did win a poll in Columbus, OH conducted by a news outlet there, and she won a Jacksonville news outlet poll. However Trump did win the polls in a Tampa Bay news outlet and a Cleveland news outlet The two above were chosen due to location and how massive the margin of victory was.

Hillary did win a national media outlet Internet poll, it was Mediaite. Here it is:
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Hey, can't win em all right? Hillary got a sizable victory in this poll, but at the end of the day, this win can't compare to the number of open polls Trump won. I do know Hillary won open polls from local media outlets in certain cities, but so did Trump.

Trump performed great at the final presidential debate, he was for the most part, presidential. He had a presidential tone, look, and message the whole night. He exposed Hillary, Bill, the DNC, and the Clinton Foundation for who they really are: corrupt, dishonest, untrustworthy, frauds, and liars. That is all backed up by Wikileaks, Project Veritas, and personal accounts. Trump stayed on message and didn't take Hillary's bait. Oh and by the way, no one really cares what Trump said about keeping us in "suspense" and "not accepting" the outcome of the election. Well after the leaks and videos have come out in recent weeks, why wouldn't you be cautious and investigate if the result seems shady? Al Gore can tell you something about that, and so can John Kerry. Enough of that bs.

Trump is going to win and going to win big, it seems the American people are reflecting that. We'll find out on November 8th. TrumpPence16.
1 Comment
TF
10/28/2016 06:29:42 pm

You realize this isn't how scientific polling works, right? Open internet polls, from the start, are not generally considered accurate because they're impossible to control, both demographically and from a security standpoint. Trump supporters on 4chan and reddit were actively and openly botting polls to make Trump win. There's no legitimate way to "analyze" them. When scientific polling disputes open polling that can be manipulated in a variety of ways, you go with the scientific polling, not deny it and claim "rigged".

Even pro-Trump media was relatively quiet after the third debate. It was one of the most lopsided debates we've ever had, and in Clinton's favor. Trump probably appealed to his existing base, but made a fool of himself as he routinely does and did nothing to win over anyone else.

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